A Paragraph With The Mariners – 150

The Mariners won a series for the first time since … playing in Baltimore back on August 16th through the 18th.  So, almost exactly a month ago.  Even more impressive, it was against the Texas Asshole Rangers.  Raising our record in September to 5-12 and meaning we have to go 6-7 the rest of the way for that magical 99-loss season.  Today is the last off-day of the season, so I thought I’d pass along a stat I found alarming yet at the same time completely understandable.  Courtesy of Lookout Landing (located in the Blogroll on the right), the Seattle Mariners this year are 7-74 when they allow more than 3 runs.  Meaning, when we give up 3 runs or less, we are 50-18.  Putting these into percentages, we have a whopping 73.5% winning percentage when our pitchers give up 3 runs or less and an anti-whopping 8.6% winning percentage when our pitchers give up 4 runs or more.  The 73.5% is pretty understandable; I think you’re going to find that’s consistent with most teams.  The 8.6%, however, is why we’re here today.  Seven games we’ve won while giving up 4 runs or more!  That puts tremendous pressure on our staff, as this post explains.  Here’s the breakdown of those seven games:  4/28 @ KC 6-5, 5/21 vs. SD 15-8, 5/26 vs. Det 5-4, 6/26 @ Mil 5-4, 6/29 @ NYY 7-4, 8/18 @ Bal 6-5, 9/7 @ Oak 7-5.  What does that tell you?  Tells me that, for our starters, once they give up more than 3 runs, they HAVE to know their chances for failure go up tremendously.  As has been sifted through over and over the last month or so, there’s the pressure of Pennant-Winning Baseball (such as that which C.C. Sabathia faces); then there’s the pressure of Inept-Offense Baseball (such as that which Felix faces).  In both cases, there’s the sense that the starter needs to be perfect, because every run is crucial, so I’d say the pressure each pitcher faces is kind of a wash.  However, if Sabathia gives up a few runs in any particular outing, he doesn’t have to face the kind of dread Felix sees every fifth day.  The dread of knowing your offense will never pick you up like you’ve picked them up so many times before.

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