And you all wondered why I was the biggest, fattest, bottom-of-the-pyramid cheerleader in the Suck For Luck Sweepstakes!
The Seahawks are going to draft either 11th or 12th in the 2012 NFL Draft. That’s good for … exactly diddly squat. I wrote about drafting quarterbacks in this Suck For Luck post. Of the 8 elite quarterbacks drafted in the past 8 years, half of them were taken in the Top 10. Roethlisberger fell to 11th, Flacco fell to 18th, Rodgers fell to 24th, and Schaub was picked in the third round (there’s always an outlier).
Now, by my calculations, there are 19 starting quarterbacks in the NFL who either are, or have been, elite-level quarterbacks. They are, in no particular order:
Philip Rivers *
Carson Palmer *
Peyton Manning *
Eli Manning *
Michael Vick *
Matthew Stafford *
Matt Ryan *
Cam Newton *
These are guys who are, or have been at one point in their careers, guys you would WANT to have on your team (the exception being: if you’ve already got an elite guy on your team who’s better than one of these other elite guys he’s listed with; I don’t imagine many Patriots fans would trade Brady for anyone else on this list, for example).
Of those 19, eight of them were picked in the top 10. They are denoted by a *. If you want to talk about the best of the best, I would rank Rivers, Manning, and Eli right up there with Brady and Brees. And there’s a lot to be said for guys like Stafford, Newton, and Ryan. And, of course, Palmer in his prime was pretty damn good (until he was beaten down under the weight of some horribly mis-managed Bengals teams). And Vick is a specimen unlike any other on this list.
Really, my point is, the very best quarterbacks tend to come in the Top 10. The Seahawks don’t pick in the Top 10. Ergo, it’s going to be difficult for the Seahawks to get one of the very best quarterbacks in the NFL Draft this spring.
That isn’t to say it’s going to be impossible, but right now it’s discouraging. I mean, over the next few months we’re going to hear about guys “Shooting Up The Draft Board” on the infinite number of mock drafts we’re sentenced to be subjected to between now and April; but really, how many of the BEST quarterbacks required their stock to rise after they finished playing college ball? Don’t you figure, if you’re an elite guy, we’re going to KNOW you’re elite already?
Andrew Luck and RGIII, they appear as if they’re going to be elite. They’ve been the two guys talked about all along. Everyone else after them … one crapshoot after another, if you ask me.