Simply put, I’ve been involved with a 2-QB league for the better part of my adult life. In Matt Ryan’s first few years, he was always a great guy to have in the mix, because even though they were more run-focused in his early days, he still threw enough TDs to keep you in the black, while avoiding turnovers to ensure his floor was high. Paired with a really dominating QB, Matt Ryan of the first three years of his career was a nice little complement.
Then, as Matt Ryan made the jump to perennial 4,000-yard passer, people in my league caught on, and would draft him before I had the chance. Once we made the switch to being a 2-keeper league, I made it my mission to get Matt Ryan back in the fold once and for all. As it just so happened, that coincided with his atrocious 2015 season, when he threw only 21 TDs to counter a whopping 16 INTs. Yeah, throwing for a ton of yards is great and everything, but if you’re making the sorts of bone-headed mistakes he was making last year, it’s absolutely impossible to field any sort of consistent fantasy team (unless you’re looking for “consistently fucking terrible”).
Matt Ryan is not an elite quarterback, regardless of what his numbers look like this year, and regardless of how he was able to go into Denver last week and defeat the Broncos with their awesome defense. Matt Ryan is an average quarterback with 1 elite wide receiver in Julio Jones. How does a guy like Ryan throw for 500 yards in a game? When he has a guy like Julio catching 300 of those yards (going up against a secondary in Carolina that might be the worst in football). I guarantee if you put Kirk Cousins or Ryan Fitzpatrick or even Brian Fucking Hoyer on this team with a healthy Julio Jones, they’d all look just as competent.
And yet, for some reason, all anyone can talk about heading into this game is Matt Ryan, his improvement over last season, and how he’s giving the Falcons more than a decent chance of winning in Seattle.
You think YOU can get SOUP??? Please! You’re wasting everyone’s time!
Matt Ryan isn’t an elite quarterback because elite quarterbacks make the players around them better. No one said a God damn thing about the Seahawks’ receivers until Doug Baldwin caught 14 TDs last year, yet the Seahawks and Russell Wilson have been pretty great since 2012! Why is that? Because regardless of who you put on the field with Wilson, he’s going to make it work and grind it out for a win.
Take away Julio Jones and you know what you’ve got in Matt Ryan? Yet another Joe Flacco. Flacco needs elite talent around him to be successful. Ever since the Ravens opted to skimp on receivers, tight ends, and running backs, Flacco has been mediocre at best and a disaster the rest of the time.
What has Matt Ryan been like the last few years? Well, for starters, Julio hasn’t always been healthy, and when he’s slowed down by injury, forget it. The Falcons are pathetic without Julio. But, they were also trying to get by with a broken down Roddy White, no running game, and a poo-poo platter of crap as their #3 receivers and tight ends. Tony Gonzalez has been out of the game for a while, and that might have been the biggest set-back to Matt Ryan’s career!
So, don’t tell me Matt Ryan has turned a corner. Everyone wants to talk about how the Seahawks have faced the easiest schedule through 4 games when it comes to opposing offenses; well, aside from the Broncos, who have the Falcons played? Tampa, Oakland, New Orleans, and Carolina. Those are four bullshit defenses who couldn’t stop anyone! And, of the five games, Ryan’s worst was easily last week’s against the Broncos, when he was held under 100 in passer rating.
I would also argue Denver’s defense MIGHT not be as great as we anticipated coming into the season. I’ll give Atlanta credit for exposing some things (like how you can pass all day on their linebackers, if you have top-notch, pass-catching running backs). But, I’m going to go ahead and say this right now: Denver’s defense is no where NEAR as complete as ours, at all levels. They might be as good as us in the secondary, but check the game last week: Atlanta’s top two running backs caught a combined 167 of Matt Ryan’s 267 passing yards. That means Julio Jones and the Gang were held to 100 yards receiving COMBINED.
I’ll go out on a limb and say their receivers will have a slightly better day on Sunday than they did last week, but their running backs won’t do shit! Unless you’re in the mood for a lot of check-downs, then by all means, tout the Falcons’ passing attack.
But, you’re looking at the Seahawks coming off of a BYE, with everyone healthy, at home in the pouring rain, against a domed Falcons team. I’ll take this matchup all day every day, please and thank you.
Also, tell me, how are the Falcons on defense going to stop us? Desmond Trufant is only one man, the last time I checked. Even if you put him on Doug Baldwin, I still expect Baldwin to get his. But, how are they going to guard Jimmy Graham? Who will account for Tyler Lockett? And, for the love of all that is holy, can ANYONE stop Christine Michael?
We’ve got weapons, plural. They’ve got Julio. If there’s any justice in this world, Richard Sherman will shadow him all day, giving us another fascinating matchup like we had with the Jets and Brandon Marshall two weeks ago.
I’d expect this game to be exciting, but mostly if you’re a Seahawks fan. I’d expect people will be having a lot of third and fourth thoughts about how good the Falcons really are when this one’s finished.