My Unhelpful Preview Of Tonight’s Seahawks/Cardinals Game

The Seahawks just have to win.  That’s it!  End of post!  It’s patently ridiculous that the Seahawks are at this point, it’s ridiculous that they lost to the Redskins last week, and frankly it’s ridiculous how they’ve lost all three of those games this season.  We’re a game behind the Rams now – who look like a fucking murderer’s row the way they’re beating some of these teams (although, curiously, they too lost a home game to the Redskins, which just might be one of those teams unaffected by the 3-timezone change) – and if you haven’t seen their schedule, it’s so close to Seattle’s it’s eerie!

Their AFC road games are at the Jags and Titans, as are ours.  Their road NFC East games are at the Cowboys and Giants, as are ours.  They play last year’s 3rd place NFC South team – the Saints – at home; we play last year’s 1st place NFC South team – the Falcons – at home.  They play last year’s 3rd place NFC North team – the Vikings – on the road; we play last year’s 1st place NFC North team – the Packers – on the road.  Literally the only difference is the order in which we play these teams.  Which thus far has hurt the Seahawks, because we had to grapple with Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson when they were still healthy; they avoid Watson, and get to face whatever backup Vikings QB is in the lineup in two weeks.

If I’m being honest, it’s hard to find two more losses on the Rams’ schedule, unless they start suffering significant injuries.  Their toughest games are both at home, against the Saints and Eagles.  Other than that, MAYBE the Vikings’ defense poses some threat, but I’m not really a believer in those guys.  So, either the Seahawks need to win their remaining 8 games – including at home against the Rams to take the season head-to-head tie-breaker – or the Rams need to start dropping some games they should otherwise win.

Also, not for nothing, but going 8-0 is pretty much a prerequisite for getting a first round BYE in the playoffs, which sounds pretty impossible when you’ve got the Falcons and Eagles at home, and the Jags and Cowboys on the road.  You scoff at the Jags, but have you SEEN their defense?  Now imagine those guys going up against this Seattle offense (particularly this Seattle offensive line), and understand the game is in Florida, at 10am Pacific time, and you’ll see why I’m freaking out here.

That’s obviously getting ahead of things by quite a bit.  Taking this second half of the season as one big chunk is insane; we’re going to have to take this one game at a time, just like Russell Wilson always says.  Forget about everything else, the Seahawks just need to go 1-0 tonight.

Of course, they SHOULD go 1-0 tonight, because the Cards are pretty terrible.  But, they also SHOULD have gone 1-0 last week at home against the Redskins, and you saw what happened.  Remember last year, when the Seahawks SHOULD have won down in Arizona, but dicked around all night and ended up with a 6-6 tie?  Remember why that happened?  Remember a certain kicker missing a certain number of field goals to cost this team a win?  Remember how that kicker frequently missed kicks down in Arizona because their field is garbage?  And remember how that kicker is now kicking in Buffalo, and the Seahawks went and signed Blair Walsh for some God-foresaken reason?

That 6-6 football game last year was EASILY the worst game of the entire season, across the entire NFL.  I’m just saying, don’t be shocked if we’re in for something similar tonight.

We all know Arizona is awful.  Their record is 4-4, which sounds insane, until you’ve seen who they beat:  Indy, San Francisco, Tampa Bay, San Francisco again.  So, three of the very worst teams in the league.  They lost to the Lions, Cowboys, Eagles, and Rams.  So, three of the very best teams in the league (and the Lions).  That 4-4 record feels like a lie, but given the discrepancy of their opponents, it’s hard to get a true read on just how bad the Cards really are.  Tonight should be a good litmus test, and it would be, if it weren’t being played on Thursday Night.

[SECTION WHERE I TALK ABOUT HOW MUCH I DESPISE THURSDAY GAMES]

(it’s just easier that way)

No Carson Palmer, no David Johnson; so two of their three best offensive players are gone.  Larry Fitzgerald is still the ageless wonder, and Drew Stanton is still a good fit in Bruce Arians’ offense as a backup quarterback.  He takes care of the ball for the most part, and puts his team in position to win more often than not.  And, he’s got Adrian Peterson to hand the ball off to, who is averaging 4.2 yards per carry since coming over from the Saints.  The key tonight is, obviously, prevent AP from keeping them on schedule and force Stanton to beat you down field.  Even without Earl Thomas, that shouldn’t be a concern for the Seahawks.

Defensively, the Cards aren’t very good.  27th in points per game, 23rd in yards per game.  They’re 24th in passing yards per game at 249.3, and 11th in rushing yards per game at 100.5.  Since the Seahawks can’t run the ball anyway, tonight would be a poor night to try to shoehorn that into our offense.  Just throw it on them!  Throw away from Patrick Peterson and take what’s given to you!  I expect Jimmy Graham to have a big one here, so expect him to colossally disappoint.

I’ll say this:  they don’t have Calais Campbell anymore, which is the best news I’ve heard all year (the downside is that he’s currently tearing shit up on the Jags, who we play in December).  I’m not saying it’ll be smooth sailing against that front seven, but any time you can avoid CC destroying the interior of your O-Line, it’s a leg up for the good guys.

Take care of business, Seahawks.  Or so help me God.

Having Seen The Seahawks Play, Should We Revise Our Expectations?

In my preview & prediction post ahead of the Seahawks’ week 1 game in Green Bay, I had us going 13-3.  One of those wins I had pegged for us was that very game against the Packers, which obviously didn’t go according to plan.  So, is 13-3 totally off the table?  Are a lot of other things off the table as well?  Let’s dive in real quick.

If the Seahawks lose this week against the 49ers, we’ve got bigger problems than just losing out on the #1 seed in the NFC.  I can’t imagine a world where that happens, so let’s take for granted that the Seahawks will be 1-1 after this weekend.

I’m still concerned about the Titans, but decidedly less so than I was before week 1.  The Raiders were able to move the ball at will against them, both through the air and on the ground.  I don’t see a ton of difficult pass-rushers or interior D-linemen on their roster.  I think if the Seahawks can keep their rushing attack in check, we can force Mariota into enough errors on third down to prevail.  I had the Seahawks 2-1 after three games in my preview, and I think that’s still on the table.

I think the Colts look much worse than advertised, and that Sunday Night game has no business being anything other than a laugher.

Then, there’s that road game against the Rams.  Aaron Donald is predictably back in the fold, and I can’t see any way he doesn’t lay waste to our pathetic offensive line.  The only question being – 5 weeks into the regular season – will our O-Line have improved enough over the first month to at least keep Wilson upright?  Our only hope is that they will have gelled JUST enough to keep the pigs at bay.

After the BYE, it’s a road game against the Giants.  I can no longer, with good conscience, consider this game a win for the Seahawks.  Not with the way their D-Line balls out.  I can’t guarantee a loss either, because with Eli Manning, there’s always a chance.  So, I’ll say this:  the Seahawks will lose one of the two games between the Rams and Giants, and I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if it’s the Rams game we doof once again.

I still like our chances at home against both the Texans and Redskins.  I can’t see a rookie QB coming into CenturyLink Field and withstanding our pressure.  It might be a lot uglier than we’d like, but even a 6-3 victory is still a victory.  As for the Redskins, their defense is hot garbage, and all the Kirk Cousins in the world won’t be able to save them.

So, after 8 games, I have the Seahawks at 6-2, with an outside chance at 5-3 if they lose to both the Giants and Rams.

Kicking off the second half is that Thursday Night game against the Cards.  Carson Palmer still looks bad.  D.J. will miss this game with injury.  The rest of their offensive weapons are pretty suspect outside of the Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald.  They also don’t have Calais Campbell in the middle.  I want to call this game a coin flip, but I have to believe we’ll still prevail.

Monday Night against Atlanta becomes a real concern.  I’ll say this:  I’m glad the Seahawks are home for this one.  I could see this one being a huge score-fest, but their D-Line doesn’t totally petrify me.  Close Seahawks victory.

Again, I can’t imagine a world where we lose to the 49ers this year.

Suddenly the Philly game becomes a serious concern.  Their defense is legit.  Unless injuries start to take hold on that side of the ball, it wouldn’t shock me in the slightest to see the Seahawks muff this one.

I would also express some concern about the Jags game.  They’ve poured tons of resources into their defense (what are YOU doing here, Calais Campbell?!).  And, while I know they’ve got massive issues at the quarterback position, I could see them remain dedicated to the run, slow the game to a crawl, and if they make a couple plays here and there on defense, it could be one of those 14-6 games like we saw in Tampa last season.  I’m calling it right now:  the Seahawks WILL lose to either the Eagles or Jags, but definitely not both.

At home against the Rams, I’m marginally confident.  Let’s move on.

On the road against Dallas, again, I think we have to question some things.  While the Cowboys don’t terrify you on defense, I think they’re just good enough on offense to keep moving the chains.  By then, they should have their Ezekiel Elliott situation settled one way or the other (either he’ll play out the entirety of 2017, or he will have already had his suspension completed), and I’m a big Dak believer.  I’m notching this one in the L column just to be safe.

Finally, home against the Cards, with them having nothing to play for, is a recipe for success if I’ve ever heard one.

That puts us at 12-4, or maybe 11-5.  That most certainly keeps us out of the #1 seed and might even dump us into Wild Card weekend.  Losing games to Packers, Giants, and Cowboys could be just the tie-breakers to torpedo this season once again.

It’s not enough to just win the games you’re SUPPOSED to win.  You need to steal some wins against legit contenders!  4-0 against the AFC is about as useless as it gets when you lose 4-5 games against the NFC.  So, I hope I’m wrong, and the Seahawks still figure out a way to get to 13 wins.  Otherwise, it’ll all be as pointless as it was in 2016.

Dumbstruck: Seahawks & Cardinals Somehow Tie

All week, I was on my high horse, talking about how THIS game, on Sunday Night, in front of a national audience, would be the cure for what ails the NFL.  So sure, was I, that this game would be exciting.  And, as always, the gods just LOVE to prove me wrong, so they made this game the most boring, unwatchable disaster that’s ever befallen primetime NFL football.

Unless you love defensive battles, shoddy special teams play, and even shoddier offensive line play.  Then this game was your JAM!

I come away from this game with conflicting emotions.  Half of me believes the Seahawks are the better overall team, with one glaring flaw that prevented us from winning that game outright.  At the same time, the other half of me feels like we had no business even TYING that game, let alone winning, with the way we played on offense.  Tyrann Mathieu had the absolute quote of the night:

Let’s call it what it is.  Their offensive line is not that good.  So, we felt like we could get pressure on them, which we did a bunch of times.

I can’t even be mad at that!  I want to be!  I want nothing more than to replay that game next week and prove him wrong.  But, he’s NOT wrong!  Our offensive line was as inept as I’ve ever seen it, and I’ve seen it go up against the Rams countless times!  They were a gutless, worthless unit who couldn’t even give our quarterback two seconds to throw the ball in a clean pocket.  And if they did, they ultimately found a way to draw a holding penalty to continuously knock us behind the sticks and prevent us from ever converting third downs on a regular basis.

But, it’s all the more reason why I think, overall, the Seahawks are the superior squad.  Their defense had the luxury of going up against five jag-offs and a hobbled Russell Wilson, whereas OUR defense had to go up against a professional unit, probably the best running back in the game today, and one of the best receivers in the history of the league.  Granted, both defenses held the opposing offenses to 6 points, but ours was on the field for over 90 plays and over 45 minutes!

On the flipside, when you give Wilson time to throw the ball, we’ve seen in the very recent past that he’s able to carve up even good defenses.  But, last night, that O-line – particularly the two tackles (Sowell and Gilliam) were fucking turnstiles.  The fact that we didn’t take more than the lone sack is more of a testament to Russell Wilson’s ability to throw the ball away than anything else.  Just fucking pathetic by a pathetic group of individuals.

It wasn’t all on them though.  I’m saving some of my ire at the play calling.  When you see how much pressure the Cards are able to generate even on the 3-step drops, when you see how we’re getting called for a holding penalty on every positive play (because the only way we could POSSIBLY generate a positive play in the first place is if we held first!), and when you see the Seahawks were never down by more than 3 points all game, what in THE FUCK are you doing calling 37 passing plays and only 19 rushes?  Look, I know it’s not like Christine Michael was lighting the world on fire or anything, but neither was David Johnson!  C-Mike averaged 3.3 yards per carry, D-John averaged 3.4.  But, the Cardinals were dedicated to the run, and ran him a whopping 33 times!  Even though he never busted loose for anything over a 14-yard rush, he still kept them in short downs and distances.  And, let’s face it, you’re not going to see nearly as many holding calls on running plays as you will on passing plays where their elite ends can just tee off on us.

Pete Carroll likes to preach how we’re going to be dedicated to the run, and we’re going to be a balanced team, but he’s full of shit this season.  The team has complained this year about how the running game isn’t where we want it, and I agree, but all too many times I’ve seen this team abandon the run.  Sometimes it works, and we’re able to take care of business against the likes of the Jets and Falcons.  But, sometimes we get what we had in the Rams game, or last night.  I mean, it’s fine if you want to hand over the team to Russell Wilson and put it all on his arm, but if you’re going to do that, you’re going to have to start devoting more resources to the O-Line!  And quit bullshitting us about being dedicated to the run when you clearly aren’t.

I’ll also say, to be fair, that there were plenty of flags thrown that I thought were ticky-tack bullshit.  First and foremost would be the offensive pass interference on Jermaine Kearse.  He didn’t do anything worse – or even DIFFERENT – than what the defender was doing.  But, because his arm was extended (even though it afforded him no advantage over his opponent, and it’s something every other wide receiver gets away with on every single passing play) he gets to wear it.  On the one hand, it’s enraging, but on the other hand, this is the difference between someone elite like Richard Sherman (who last week I talked about how he was subtle in his pass interference on Julio Jones, and that’s why he got away with it) and someone average like Kearse (who has, on more than one occasion this year, been called for a similar bogus “push-off”).  Kearse needs to recognize that difference, and stop making his arm fighting look so obvious.

Aside from that, I’ll go back to the holding calls.  I mean, really, the refs were just picking and choosing from infractions that happen on literally every play.  What’s the difference between some of those flags on our O-Line and the countless times Michael Bennett gets held and the flag isn’t thrown?  At some point – particularly in primetime – you’ve got to let the players play, because the viewing public didn’t tune in to watch the referees.

All my kudos this week go to the defense.  Let’s run ’em out and say a little bit on each:

  • Bobby Swagner – 13 tackles, 12 solo tackles, 1 QB hit, and 1 HUGE blocked field goal when he pulled a Kam Chancellor
  • K.J. Wright – 10 solo tackles (including countless times stopping David Johnson in his tracks out in space), 1 tackle for loss, 1 pass defensed
  • DeShawn Shead – 9 tackles, 8 solo tackles, 1 pass defensed
  • Jeremy Lane – 7 tackles, 6 solo tackles, 1 pass defensed
  • Kelcie McCray – 7 tackles, 6 solo tackles, including the game-saving one in overtime that preceeded the Arizona missed field goal
  • Frank Clark – 5 tackles, 4 solo tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, 3 QB hits
  • Cliff Avril – 4 tackles, 3 solo tackles, 2.5 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, 2 passes defended, a whopping 6 QB hits!  He’s hands down my player of the game.
  • Richard Sherman – 3 solo tackles, 1 pass defensed
  • Earl Thomas – 2 tackles, 1 solo tackle, 2 passes defensed
  • Michael Bennett – 3 tackles, 2 solo tackles, on an almost-constant stream of double-teams
  • Tanner McEvoy – 1 HUGE blocked punt to set up our first score of the game

For as stupid as that game was – and make no mistake, that was probably the dumbest football game I’ve ever cared about – it doesn’t hurt us too much.  We didn’t let our main divisional rival gain any ground, and the next time we play them will be in Seattle.

I’ll admit, I was at my dad’s house in Tacoma for this one, and left as soon as they nailed that long play to get inside the 10 yard line in overtime.  So, I missed the attempts at getting the touchdown, I missed the missed field goal, I missed the subsequent long Seahawks drive, and I missed the subsequent missed field goal just before the end of the game.  When I left my dad’s house, I was convinced the Seahawks had lost, so I didn’t listen to any sports radio all the way back to Seattle.  As such, when I walked into my apartment, turned on the Twitter, and discovered the game ended in a tie, I was overwhelmed, and mostly in a positive way.  The moment the Cardinals got inside the 10 yard line, if you would have offered me a tie game, I would have shaken your hand and gladly accepted!  Of course, when I saw just how easy Hauschka’s field goal attempt was, and just how badly he missed it, I couldn’t help but feel a pang of regret for what could’ve been (another infuriating Seahawks victory for all the haters all across the land), but the more this game sits with me, the happier I am with the tie.  Stupid, this game was.  But even stupider it is that we didn’t lose.  And, that’s the kind of stupid I can get behind!