You want a reason for the Mariners to stand pat and not trade anybody in the next couple weeks? This would be Reason #1.
The argument against trading people are many. The veterans we have aren’t worth a whole helluva lot, which means we wouldn’t get anything back except for middling prospects (see: Eric Thames, Trayvon Robinson, Casper Wells, etc.). Right now, the Mariners are going good, and do you REALLY feel like messing with that just to bring back some tryout flunky who will probably be traded or waived within two years?
I’m as realistic as I can be right now; I know the Mariners aren’t playing for anything THIS season. At best, I’m hoping they end up at or near .500; anything over that mark would be a huge bonus. As such, I know that anybody we bring in via trade will be someone that likely WON’T help us and won’t make us any better, either this year or in the future. They will be organizational filler. I’m tired of organizational filler. We’ve got an organization FILLED (!) with organizational filler!
Yes, the Mariners are going good right now, but things won’t always be this good. There’s another lull right around the corner (probably). How soon that lull arrives, or how debilitating that lull is to our chances of ultimately achieving that .500 goal, all depends on what happens at the Trade Deadline, and what happens with injuries going forward. A good way to speed up that lull will be to trade away guys like Morales, Ibanez, Joe Saunders, or even Oliver Perez. Tired of watching this new, exciting brand of Mariners baseball? Yearning for the duds we’ve seen the past three seasons? Then, start clamoring for the Mariners to make ill-advised moves. I’ll be over here, ironically pounding the podium for the status quo (ironic because I’m usually with the rest of you, demanding trades at all costs for players who won’t be around next season anyway).
Concerned about the Mariners? Then, be concerned about the status of our everyday lineup and our pitching rotation. This team is thin. The bench consists of guys like Henry Blanco, Jason Bay, Endy Chavez, and Brendan Ryan. You don’t mind playing Blanco once or twice a week (at the most) because catchers need off days. The rest you don’t mind seeing in the occasional spot-start, or as defensive replacements in later innings; but they’re not guys you want to see playing everyday. We’ve been there, we’ve done that, it didn’t turn out well.
Also, are you looking to shake up the starting rotation? Well, for starters (!!), no one is going to trade you a fucking thing for Aaron Harang, so just stop it. STOP IT! Felix is untouchable (of course) and Iwakuma isn’t going anywhere (we’ve still got him on a cost-effective basis for next year and most likely 2015 as well, on a team option at a reasonable price). Erasmo Ramirez is someone you hope will be part of the future, so he’s out. That just leaves Joe Saunders.
Tired of Joe Saunders? Want to see the team trade him while his stock is high? OK, I’ll bite. You know that’s going to create a huge, Grand Canyon-sized hole in the middle of this rotation, right? Anybody we get back will likely be some triple-A hitter of little value, or a pitching prospect who is not yet ready for the Majors. That’s what teams in contention give you for guys like Joe Saunders. They’re not going to give you some young stud you can throw immediately into the rotation; if they had that, they’d keep him and use him instead! Without Joe Saunders in our rotation, that leaves some pretty sad options: Blake Beavan (the leader in the clubhouse), Hector Noesi (who, as you can plainly see, is still terrible), James Paxton (who, despite some recent success, still probably isn’t ready for anything more than a September call-up and one or two starts), and that’s about it. Danny Hultzen is injured and keeps suffering setbacks by the week; I’m putting my Smart Money on him being finished for the season. Taijuan Walker JUST started pitching in Tacoma a couple weeks ago and is on a strict pitch count. Even if we bring him up, he’s going to be shut down in about 45 innings or so (he has pitched 84 innings in AA and 21 innings in AAA; reports have him at around 150 innings for 2013 before being shut down). What is that? 5-8 starts? Whatever it is, his number of starts is going down by the week. I’d eat my hat if he becomes Joe Saunders’ replacement.
Yeah, so Blake Beavan for Joe Saunders; that’s what you’re looking at. Still gung-ho about ridding ourselves of this middle-of-the-road pitcher? For my money, Saunders is a helluva lot better and more reliable than Beavan. I’ve seen enough of Beavan to know I never want to see him again.
As for our bullpen, word on the street is Oliver Perez’s days are numbered. He has the highest value, he’s not our closer anymore, and he’s likely gone after this season; why not, right?
Well, it’s true, Tom Wilhelmsen has seemed to regain his former position as the team’s closer, but does he really inspire a ton of confidence right now? We’re all still waiting for his strikeout numbers to return; I have a feeling we’ll be waiting until the end of time. Yoervis Medina has been a pleasant surprise in 35 games thus far. Charlie Furbush has been used appropriately and has turned out some positive results. But, after that, it gets pretty dicey. The aforementioned Noesi is up here because it looks like the Mariners want to stretch Beavan back out to starting. He’s a terrible pitcher, but he can eat up innings in a blowout, so there you go. Lucas Luetge is back, but he still can’t get out right handed batters, so he’s usually only good for a third of an inning. Capps has been sent down to Tacoma for getting torched too often. Farquhar – after a promising start to his Major League career – has shown why he was so available in that Ichiro trade. Bobby LaFromboise isn’t anyone I ever want to see again. Stephen Pryor is working his way back from the 60-day DL and who knows if he will make it back before season’s end? The other guys are in Tacoma for a reason.
This bullpen, in short, has Perez, Medina, an iffy Wilhelmsen, an iffy Furbush, and that’s it. If you ask me, I’d like to see Perez stay here and help us win as many games as we can. He, like everyone else trade-able on this roster, won’t garner much in return.
Getting back to our hitters – and our toothless bench – there isn’t much help on the horizon. Mike Morse will probably be back pretty soon. At which point, I guess he goes into a time-share with Ibanez? Honestly, I don’t know what we do with Morse when he returns. Ackley seems pretty entrenched in center, Michael Saunders is probably the team’s best defensive outfielder, and Ibanez has been hitting lefties just as good as he’s been hitting righties. Does Morse’s return spell the end for Jason Bay? His playing time has diminished to almost nothing since our current outfield incarnation has presented itself as viable. Does Bay bring anything to the table, aside from being slightly better defensively?
Also, what does this team do if Guti returns? Part of me hopes he NEVER returns, because what’s the point? We would have to waive Endy Chavez. Granted, Chavez isn’t good, but I like what he brings in a very part-time role. He doesn’t walk, but he gets hits (singles, mostly) and plays solid defense. As a defensive replacement for Ibanez, you have to like him on the team. You know, if we waive him for Guti, some contender is going to snap him up and put him on their bench. Then, a week later, Guti will get hurt again, and where are we? Welcoming back Carlos Peguero, apparently.
The only guy currently on the 25-man roster I won’t actually miss is Jason Bay. This team could conceivably also get rid of Brendan Ryan, because Nick Franklin is a serviceable back-up at short stop, and Ackley can always slot back over and play second base if needed. Other than that, there’s nothing I want to see this team do in trades, nor is there anything I want to have happen as far as health is concerned. Let us just ride this wave to its conclusion and make whatever moves we feel like making this offseason.