You Can’t Keep A Good Team Down, Even On The Road

  • On Sunday, September 29, 2013, the Seahawks trailed the Texans 20-3 at halftime.  The Seahawks would go on to win 23-20 in overtime.
  • On Sunday, September 8, 2013, the Seahawks trailed the Panthers 7-3 at halftime.  The Seahawks would go on to win 12-7.
  • On Sunday, January 13, 2013, the Seahawks trailed the Falcons 20-0 at halftime.  The Seahawks would take the lead briefly, 28-27, before losing in the final seconds, 30-28.
  • On Sunday, January 6, 2013, the Seahawks trailed the Redskins 14-0 at the end of the first quarter.  The Seahawks would go on to win 24-14.
  • On Sunday, December 2, 2012, the Seahawks trailed the Bears 14-10 after three quarters.  The Seahawks would go on to win 23-17 in overtime.

It’s tough to win on the road in the NFL.  That’s a pretty established belief; I don’t think I’m going to ruffle anyone’s feathers making that statement.  Since the start of 2012 (when Russell Wilson graced us all with his presence), there have been 330 games played in the NFL (including post-season, through last week’s slate).  In those 330 games, 135 road teams have won.  That’s just under 41% of the time.  So, you know, it’s tough, but it’s not impossible.

It’s insanely difficult, however, to win on the road when you have to come from behind.  In those aforementioned 330 games, there have been 36 road teams who have trailed at halftime and went on to win the game (just under 11%).  There have been 35 road teams who have trailed after 1 quarter and went on to win the game (ditto).  And there have been only 27 teams who have trailed after 3 quarters who went on to win the game (around 8%).

In 4 of those 27 games, the Seahawks were the team who trailed after 3 quarters on the road and came back to win.

The argument I’m making here isn’t necessarily that the Seahawks are a good road team.  Really, the point that’s being made is that the Seahawks are just a good team, period.  Good teams are more likely to go on the road and make a comeback to win the game.  If you’re one of the best teams in the league (like, for instance, a future playoff team), then the odds are high that the team you’re playing isn’t as good as you are.  So, it would stand to reason that since the Seahawks are the BEST team, the odds of them coming back from a deficit on the road is better than it would be for literally every other team.

That doesn’t make it any less impressive.  Unless you’re the 1972 Dolphins, then you know that the best team every year ends up losing at least one game.  Nearly every Super Bowl winner has either looked bad in winning or outright lost a few games along the way.  I have predicted a 23-0 finish for the Seahawks this season (including exhibition games), but that’s because I’m a lunatic.  It’s completely irrational to expect a team to go undefeated in a season.  If I was in any way impartial and a betting man, I would put money on the Colts winning this week (because there’s no WAY the Seahawks win in back-to-back weeks on the road against the best of the AFC South).  And if I were an impartial betting man, I would probably lose my money.  Because if I’m a lunatic, this Seahawks team is batshit fucking crazy!

Remember how it used to feel as recently as 2012 whenever the Seahawks went on the road?  Remember how we’d all go into those games expecting a loss while hoping for some miracle?  Remember how, even going into the 2013 season, we’d all look to count the 10am start times?  Remember how we’d predict the winners of all the games and any time you pegged the Seahawks for a loss, it would be in a road game?

It’s time to start re-thinking how we think about the Seattle Seahawks.  Because they don’t realize that what they’re doing is stupid-insane.

Even though the Seahawks probably SHOULD lose these games, they find a way to come back and most of the time win them.  They can look as bad as bad can be, especially against the likes of the Texans and Falcons.  But, then the second half comes around, and our defense stiffens.  The fourth quarter starts, and the offense comes alive.  Sure, it would be better for my ticker if the Seahawks would just play this way from the start, but a win is a win is a win and I’ll take it anyway I can get it.

The mark of a great team isn’t being perfect all the time.  Even these Denver Broncos won’t blow out EVERY team they face.  A few times, they’re going to run into a defense that has them figured out.  Or, their offense will for whatever reason be having a bad day.  It’s going to happen!  And when that happens, will they be able to mount a comeback?  Will they have what it takes to finish the game off at the end of regulation or overtime?

The Seahawks have that quality.  It’s not just a matter of “flipping a switch”.  I’m sure when their backs are against the wall, the players play with additional passion they didn’t know they had in reserve, but that’s not it.  This team seemingly always makes the proper adjustments whenever they’re in need of turning things around.  And THAT’S why they’re the best team in the NFL.  That’s why I have them going undefeated all season long.

Of course, it never hurts to have a little luck on your side.  As a Seattle-based team, I think we’ve earned it through hard years of getting fucked over time and time again.

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