Did you know that aside from a single 11-game homestand, the Mariners are a .500 ballclub? Remarkably, it’s true. I know we’re all mildly amused at the month of July so far – the Mariners have gone WLWLWLWLWLWL in the 12 games leading up to the All Star Break – but that .500 play extends all the way back to June 9th. And, in case we all forgot, on May 27th – when the Mariners finished sweeping the Rays to wrap up a 6-3 road trip – they were an even 23-23.
The homestand in question: 4 games vs. Cleveland, 3 games vs. the Yankees, 4 games vs. Tampa. The result of that homestand: 2-9 record, with a single win against the Indians and a single win against the Rays. It was, I assure you, beyond pathetic. It helped usher in the Mark Trumbo trade, it led to me writing only one post in a 9-day period, and when I came back, it was decided that the Mariners need to fire their GM and let someone else make the decisions going forward.
The Mariners scored 21 runs in those 11 games, while giving up 38. In that stretch, we lost Paxton to injury, Felix was blown up by the Yankees, we blew two games in extra innings, and the cherry on top was the Rays series which looked like this:
- Loss 2-1
- Loss 1-0
- Win 2-1
- Loss 3-1
There are no words, except there are countless words. There are words dating back to 2010 about how truly awful the Mariners have been at scoring runs. At hitting with runners in scoring position. At getting guys in from third base with less than two outs. This is the team we root for, and it’s a God damn crime to all the senses!
The Mariners are currently 41-48 and start the second half tonight. There are 73 games left to go. Without even thinking, you could make a prediction that the Mariners will go .500 the rest of the way and probably not be too far off. If all goes accordingly – and we’re confronted with that lone 2-9 homestand as the defining stretch of the season – then we’re looking at somewhere between 77 and 78 wins at season’s end. With 84-85 losses, depending. That is pretty much in line with the records the Mariners had in 2012 and 2013, which more or less feels like the talent-level we’re looking at. In other words, it’s an apt comparison. This is most likely a sub-80 win team, even if it goes .500 the rest of the way.
If we have hopes of being anything but, the stretch of quality baseball better start immediately. There is A TON of ground to make up. Starting tonight, we’re looking at 20 games in 20 days. No one said it would be easy.