- See my Intro to understand what this is all about.
- See my Draft Recap to learn where my team started.
- See my Week 1 Recap
- See my Week 2 Recap
- See my Week 3 Recap
- See my Week 4 Preview
- See my Week 5 Preview
- See my Week 6 Preview
- See my Week 7 Preview
- See my Week 8 Preview
Man, that was a squeaker!
By all rights, I should’ve lost last week. In the end, I have my opponent to thank.
In the flurry of mid-week moves made in our league come Wednesday morning of last week, The Lance Petemans picked up Dion Lewis and dropped Chris Carson. Per his description, Carson fucked him all year long, so of course the week he drops him is the week I claim him and he goes for 105 yards and a touchdown (20.40 points in total). Had someone with a higher waiver priority made a play for Carson, my backup emergency fill-in RB for Ezekiel Elliott on his BYE was likely going to be Kenjon Barner (my thought process being: Sony Michel was injured, the Pats were likely to kill the Bills, and hopefully Barner would get me a goalline TD for my trouble). Barner ended up getting all of 0.40, a full 20 points less than Carson. King Flippy Nips beat The Lance Petemans 171.70 to 160.94, so you go ahead and do the math while I wait here and smoke this victory cigar.
I never in my wildest dreams figured I’d pick up a running back I actually wanted to keep around on my roster; I thought I’d get a guy for the week, be disappointed, and drop him as soon as humanly possible. But, Carson isn’t only a viable plug n’ play, he might actually be a Must Start. I don’t want to get ahead of myself, because he’s only had 2 good games out of 7, but this is the guy I was expecting coming into the draft (when I selected him in my other league WAY too early).
I got a lot of good play up and down my lineup. Derek Carr got me almost 40 on my bench, but Wentz & Dalton both had 27+. Thielen and Peterson also got me over 20, and the rest of my skill guys got me 10+. Matt Prater had a crap game, and Chicago’s defense certainly missed Khalil Mack, but all in all it was a full team effort.
Having Tyreek Hill go down with a groin injury is far from ideal, but if there’s a position I can afford to have some injuries in, it’s wide receiver. Woods is a Must Start for me at this point, and I’ve got plenty of depth to fill out my FLEX spot. I just hope Hill’s injury doesn’t linger too long, and he isn’t beset with constant setbacks.
The victory brought me back to .500 at 4-4. I’m in 4th place, comfortably in 3rd place in total points scored, and 6th in points against.
Week 9 is the week I’ve been dreading (and had blocked out of my mind to this point) all year. On top of Leonard Fournette being on BYE (here’s hoping he’s back and starting in Week 10), I have not one but TWO quarterbacks on BYE. Yes, this is a 2-QB league, and yes, I only have 3 QBs on my roster. What’s more, Wentz was a keeper and the other two were draft picks, meaning I did this to myself. Did I realize it when I picked Dalton? Probably not. Did I do anything about it back when I had a chance to grab someone off waivers? Well, I owned FitzMagic for a hot minute, but dropped him back when he was benched for Jameis.
You can see where I’m going with this. By picking up Chris Carson, my waiver priority fell; I was 9th out of 10 teams heading into this week. Now, luckily I got the win last week, which I absolutely prefer to getting a chance to claim FitzMagic this week, so in that sense I don’t totally regret missing out on him.
Brock Osweiler was the only free agent quarterback available who looks like he’ll get a start this week. That’s suboptimal, but what are you gonna do? In the flurry of waiver moves on Wednesday morning, Sam Darnold was thrown to the wolves, so I put in a claim for him. It won’t go through until Friday, so stay tuned!
Here’s this week’s lineup:
- QB1 – Derek Carr @ SF
- QB2 – Brock Osweiler vs. NYJ
- WR1 – Adam Thielen vs. DET
- WR2 – Robert Woods @ NO
- RB1 – Ezekiel Elliott vs. TEN
- RB2 – Adrian Peterson vs. ATL
- TE – Greg Olsen vs. TB
- FLEX – Kenny Golladay @ MIN
- K – Matt Prater @ MIN
- DEF – Chicago @ BUF
My bench is: Wentz (BYE), Dalton (BYE), Fournette (BYE), Carson, Hill, Devonta Freeman (IR).
As usual, the big decision I had was Olsen vs. Reed. This week, I like the Panthers TE against the poor Bucs defense because they give up a ton of points to tight ends (whereas the Falcons’ defense is middle-of-the-road against tight ends). Since Fournette is no longer an option for the IR spot, I had to create two openings before I could make any moves. I dropped Jordan Reed so I could slide Fournette back to my bench. Both Reed and Olsen are injury-prone (in spite of the fact that Reed hasn’t missed a game this year), but I like Olsen’s upside in a more prolific offense. The other move was dropping Calvin Ridley for Osweiler. Considering I’ve still got Golladay on my bench – and his role figures to increase now that the Lions traded Golden Tate – I feel I have plenty of top-shelf wide receiver depth on my roster.
The other big decision this week was Golladay over Carson for my FLEX. Carson is really touchdown-dependent, but the Seahawks have been super-committed to him (as well they should be, because he’s far-and-away the best running back on this team and it’s not even close). Golladay conversely, got lost in the shuffle the last two weeks with all the other Lions’ weapons stepping up. Minnesota’s defense is pretty good against wide receivers, so for a while there I had Carson in my lineup. But, with the trade of Golden Tate, Golladay HAS to see an increase in production. Considering I feel the Lions will have to throw a lot to stay in this game, I think Golladay is both the safer play and the higher-ceiling play (as you’ll see tomorrow, I don’t have a ton of confidence in the Seahawks beating the Chargers).
This week, I’m going up against Beasts. Last week, I talked about how The Lance Petemans have won the league championship every other year for the last too-many-years; well, the guy who’s won the league championship ALMOST every other year that The Lance Petemans failed to wrap it up was Beasts. In back-to-back weeks I’m playing arguably the two best fantasy owners in our league’s history. Great.
Here’s Beasts’ lineup:
- QB1 – Russell Wilson vs. LAC
- QB2 – Matt Ryan @ WAS
- WR1 – Brandin Cooks @ NO
- WR2 – Jarvis Landry vs. KC
- RB1 – Christian McCaffrey vs. TB
- RB2 – Phillip Lindsay vs. HOU
- TE – Kyle Rudolph vs. DET
- FLEX – Julian Edelman vs. GB
- K – Graham Gano vs. TB
- DEF – Minnesota vs. DET
His bench is: Bortles (BYE), Tevin Coleman, Cooper Kupp, Doug Martin, Amari Cooper.
His quarterbacks should be rock solid in their games. It’s sort of appalling how often the Rams try to force it into Cooks (when Woods is so much more wide open all the time!), and Landry is just a target machine against a terrible pass defense. McCaffrey is a fantasy god going up against an even worse defense, and Phillip Lindsay pretty much owns that backfield now. There really isn’t a weak player in the bunch; I guess I don’t love Minnesota’s defense against an offense like Detroit’s. Nevertheless, my team is going to need to bring its A-game.
For what it’s worth, I like my non-QBs this week. Chicago has a legitimate chance to be the best defense of the week (so watch them lay an egg somehow). My kicker figures to have a nice bounce-back performance in a should-be high-scoring game. All of my receivers look like they’ll be in games where their teams are throwing a lot. And, here’s hoping Zeke comes back with a vengeance after a BYE week’s rest. My hunch is that I lose this one, but I’ve got some guys that can keep me close.